Scholatic Reports

Scholatic reported first quarter revenue of $586.9million which was 75% higher than the same period last year. The last Potter title accounted for the increase. Scholastic routinely reports a loss in its first quarter and their net loss this period was $2.8million or $0.07/share. From the press release:

“This summer Scholastic again broke publishing records with the launch of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows. Exceptional promotion and marketing combined with overwhelmingly favorable publicity resulted in unprecedented sales, while efficient distribution and execution helped us achieve high sell-through and improved margins. Sales of READ 180® and educational technology also rose solidly in their primary selling season, reflecting Scholastic’s continued success raising student achievement,” commented Richard Robinson, Chairman, CEO and President. “These positive first quarter results position us well to meet our fiscal 2008 goals while making planned investments to drive long-term growth, in particular in our education and children’s book businesses, and progress toward our 9 to 10% operating margin goal.”

The company reaffirmed its forcast of full year revenues between $2.3 to $2.5 billion and earnings per diluted share of $2.35 to $2.85.

Other highlights from the press release:

• Children’s Book Publishing and Distribution. Revenue for the quarter was $342.5 million, up over 200% from prior year. Potter revenue increased to approximately $240 million from $5 million reflecting the launch of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, and higher sales of the first six Harry Potter titles. Operating profit for the quarter, improved to $2.7 million compared to a loss of $67.3 million a year ago
• Educational Publishing. Revenue for the quarter was $127.8 million, level with the prior year period. Educational technology sales rose 9% largely due to solid sales of READ 180 and FASTT Math™. This was offset by schools’ continued weak spending on supplemental materials, which resulted in lower sales in Paperbacks and Library Publishing. Segment operating profit was $30.6 million compared to $32.7 million in the first quarter of last year
• International. Revenue of $99.6 million was up 26% (17% in local currencies) from the prior year period. Segment operating loss improved to $2.7 million compared to $5.5 million in the prior year period, primarily due to strong export sales of Harry Potter and improved results in Australia and Asia.
• Media, Licensing and Advertising. Segment revenue for the quarter rose 8% to $17.0 million, due in part to higher sales of interactive products. Segment operating loss improved to $5.1 million from $6.1 million
• Other Financial Results. Corporate overhead in the quarter was $20.3 million compared to $19.9 million in the prior year period, reflecting higher Harry Potter-related expenses, partly offset by company-wide efforts to reduce costs

I know what you said about me yesterday

I sometimes do work in the non-profit world, and I borrowed this trick from a blog I read there. I’ve been itching to try it out in this area. This is the question I pose: what if there was a way to better understand the elusive power of “word of mouth” in selling books? What if publicists and marketers could eavesdrop on conversations between readers and recommenders, and even know which recommenders carry more weight than others? Technorati (www.technorati.com) provides essential insight into this process on the web by allowing (among many other things) users to set up automatic alerts for any search terms mentioned in the 105.8 million blogs and over 250 million pieces of tagged social media they currently track. It is so easy, it’s almost cheating.

My bet is that most publicists and marketing folks are not currently tracking who says what on their titles on blogs, therefore not using the blog medium to the best advantage. But I could be wrong. As a test, I’ve picked the three titles below, all on the Amazon Top 100 list and all published recently. For each publisher who emails me at sruszala@gmail.com in the next 24 hours to say they’ve found this blog, I’ll donate $10 to First Book.

Here are the titles:

Middlesex, by Jeffrey Eugenides published by Picador

Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart by Ian Ayres, published by Bantam

Giving: How Each of Us Can Change the World (Hardcover) by Bill Clinton, published by Knopf

Good luck!

New Model Army of Self-Publishers

The news that Author House and iUniverse.com were merging was not entirely unexpected, but it is interesting to me that the publishing community basically ignored the event. While it was reported in Publisher’s Lunch and Publisher’s Weekly, the report in PW focused on the question of job cuts which may reflect a limited interest in the strategic ramifications this segment poses to mainstream publishers. Led by Lulu.com, this publishing segment is exploding and the last thing being considered will be job cuts. Just look at the capabilities on offer at Lulu. Author House and iUniverse complement each other: A number of years ago, iUniverse.com made the strategic choice to add an extensive selection of professional editorial services to their suite of services, which surpass the service offered by Author House (and others in the market). Tactically, I think the two companies will slot together like jigsaw pieces.

Random House has a relationship with Xlibris and is alone among the major publishing houses in building formal relationships with the self-publishing marketplace. I would expect other major publishers to jump into this space, in the short-term, through acquisition. The leverage these companies achieve over their technology, employees and fixed expenses, the processes they have established and the market they have built make these companies appealing. Ironically, there is a ‘democratization of access’ underway in publishing, which to date, most “publishers” have not participated in; but, this will change as traditional publishers look to the self-publisher market as a natural product extension.

In the case of Author House and iUniverse.com, they each produce over 5,000 titles per year with total staff of approximately 100. In terms of titles per month and titles per employee, they shame a traditional large publisher. Everyone will argue that the quality of the content produced by self-publishers is poor, but this is no more true than the statement that all content produced by traditional publishers is exemplary. How often has a traditional publisher invested significantly in a title’s success only to watch it sell 300 copies? For the self-publisher—with an author pays model, no inventory and no promotion expense—there is only upside if a title takes off unexpectedly (and sells 300 copies).

I am not suggesting that the self-publishing business model will be adopted anytime soon by a major publishing house, but there are lessons to be learned from the success that the self-publishing industry has built in the last 10 years. Enabling technology has produced this ‘democratization of access’ and, while it is hard to imagine that there is that much content to produce, the numbers prove the case. Lulu is producing 4,000 new titles per week for a total of 300,000 newly released titles, Author House has over 30,000 authors and 40,000 titles, and iUniverse says they have sold over 5mm books.

Amazon has invested in this area (B&N is getting out via iUniverse.com) and I see some convergence between the traditional publishing model and self-publishing. The content quality issue is irrelevant: Firstly because good content will always find its market and Secondly, because quality in the self-publishing segment depends not on the content but the service the author received. Get ready to see traditional publishers adopt some of the practices of the self-publishing industry.

Bloomsbury Reports: Revenues up 36%

Bloomsbury reports this morning that revenues rose 36% for the first half 2007 boosted by Harry Potter and 37 other best sellers. The company also says that they expect the strong results to continue due to a good pipeline of new titles but that full year profit will be negatively impacted by an increased tax burden.

Reuters reports that the company's shares were trading down 0.6 percent at 170.5 pence at 0730 GMT, valuing the firm at 125.4 million pounds.

Reuters

Highlights from their press release:

• Six months Revenue up 36.5% to £51.41m (2006, £37.66m)
• Profit before investment income increased 7.6% to £3.25m (2006, £3.02m)
• Interim dividend up 6.1% to 0.70p (2006, 0.66p)
• Four electronic rights deals signed this year which included Bloomsbury ’s most important reference rights partnership to date for Finance: The Ultimate Resource with Qatar Financial Centre Authority
• Strong publishing lists for second half and into 2008
• Well positioned for further growth

Commenting on the results and prospects for Bloomsbury, Nigel Newton, Chairman, said: “This is a good set of results which puts us back on track following last year’s profit warning. Between April and June, Bloomsbury enjoyed one of the most sustained periods of publishing bestsellers in its history. Four major reference rights deals which had been in the pipeline have now been completed and will provide very important revenue streams going forward.We are also starting to see the benefits of the strategic approach which we outlined in my previous Chairman’s statement and our publishing programme for the second half of the year is very strong.”

Five Questions with Lonely Planet

Recently I mentioned the effort by DK (Penguin) that allows consumers to build their own travel guides using the DK content. Lonely Planet recently launched a program that allows consumers to download (in PDF) only the parts of travel guides they are most interested in. The option to download the entire guide exists, but in many cases a consumer only visits a part of a country and much of a country wide guide is irrelevant. This program solves this issue.

Currently under trial, the content covers guides for Latin and South America and represents 350 chapters from 35 individual guides. The site is impressively easy to use and the prices for the chapter content are reasonably priced. Most chapters cost between $2 and $4 and users gain a discount from the purchase of multiple chapters. Lonely Planet says that the feedback from this trial will be incorporated into the next release that should also include more guide book content. As an additional feature, consumers can also view new guides before they are available in stores.

Commenting on this initiative Product Manager Tom Hall said "Over the years we've received countless letters and emails from travelers telling us they'd like to take just the parts of our book that match their travel. Pick & Mix enables this and is perfect for people traveling to multiple destinations not covered by one or two individual guidebooks, or those looking for very specific information. It’s also handy when plans change or you can’t get to a book store.”
Lonely Planet has long been a leader in the independent travel guide market after their first title Across Asia on the Cheap was written 30 years ago. The guides immediately appealed to travelers who wanted to get off the beaten track and gain the real essence of a location.

The guides and the company - perhaps as a direct result of the characteristics of the target consumers - engender significant loyalty. There are over 400,000 registered members of their travel community (Thorn Tree) who share inside knowledge, read and contribute to blogs and read about reports from authors in the field. Undoubtedly, Lonely Planet will be looking to expand the community and social networking aspects of their interactions with consumers and it will be interesting to see how their feature set develops.

I recently asked Tom Hall five questions about the Lonely Planet strategy and future plans.

1. Tell us about the thinking behind the build your own model.
   
   For years travellers have been asking to take just the parts of our books they need. I was one of them. In 2001 (before I worked for Lonely Planet), I took a round-the-world trip to 7 countries across three continents. I couldn’t carry guidebooks for all of them, and ended up scouring Kathmandu trying and failing to find a book on Tanzania. So I arrived in Africa with no information whatsoever, and was incredibly frustrated – the information I really needed was out there, but no one would sell it to me when and where I needed it. Many travellers tell us they tear entire sections from guidebooks, or photocopy pages from other travellers or from the library. The thinking is really just that there seems to be a clear need, and Pick & Mix is a way to meet it.That’s the key point, but here are a couple more. One of our first purchasers was someone in Norway who bought a chapter on Martinique. I like to imagine the person in a snug little cabin with icicles hanging off the roof, downloading a chapter about a balmy tropical island. The point is that Pick & Mix makes us truly global – our content is accessible anywhere with an internet connection, so it’s available to more travellers. It makes possible sales we’d never get otherwise. Another point is sustainability – quite a few people have written to say they appreciate being able to save paper, ink, the energy from shipping, or to go entirely paperless by storing our content on an iPod, memory stick, phone or laptop.
   
   


2. Has demand developed as expected and has there been any impact on sales of the full titles? How do your retailers view the effort?
   
   We believe Pick & Mix is complementary to our guidebooks, rather than a substitute. So far, results have confirmed that view. We just launched two months ago, though, and obviously it’s something we’re monitoring carefully. Demand to this point has been higher than projected, and even better, the feedback from travellers has been fantastic.
   
   Retailers face similar challenges to publishers when it comes to digital content, and we're committed to finding ways forward together. We see Pick & Mix as an opportunity to reach out to retail partners with digital content and meet the needs of both new and existing customers in new formats. In the future, this may include retailers offering digital products to customers either in-store or online.
   
   


3. There are similar efforts by other publishers – this is not a new and unique effort. How does your project differ? How are you measuring success?
   
   Pick & Mix is a simple concept - it offers chapters pulled straight from our guidebooks. It’s easy to use - you go online and find the parts our books you need, download them, and print them if you want – a five-minute process. Also, Pick & Mix covers an entire region, rather than a grab-bag of destinations. This complete coverage makes it useful for many types of trips: a long-term trip to multiple destinations, business trips or short city breaks, even when you’re on the road and plans change.
   We’re measuring success in terms of sales, whether we’re growing our market overall, and direct feedback from travelers.
   
   


4. You have used the PDF format for this initiative. Was there any discussion about allowing a non-proprietary download? Do you envision a situation where a consumer could choose not to use the PDF and receive it in text format? Do you see for example, the ability for users to integrate content into their own self-produced content
   
   We launched with the PDF format because travellers told us it’s the most useful right now. Our intention is to make Pick & Mix format-agnostic - in the long-term travellers should be able to get whatever content they want (including information from other travellers, like ThornTree or Bluelist), where they want it, in whatever format they want it. Pick & Mix is the first step towards that goal, and we’ll take our lead from travellers on the subsequent steps.
   
   


5. What’s next for Lonely Planet? You appear to have a loyal fan base and cadre of users/consumer who interact with some frequency with LP. Can you tell us a little about your social networking plans?
   
   Simon Westcott, LP Global Publisher responds: “We have great loyalty and interaction from users of our Thorn Tree community. Every month we break new records for membership and participation. But there's so much more for us to do: group functionality, tagging, more types of user content generation, opening our infrastructure to 3rd-party development, allowing people to create their own trip pages. Watch this space....”
   

Reed Elsevier Bid Speculation

There has been some movement in the share price of Reed Elsevier over the past several days due to renewed speculation the company would make a revived bid for Wolters Kluwer. On Friday the stock was up 6 1/2p to 608 and this morning the stock is up further. Today (Monday) citibank raised their recommendation from hold to buy referencing Reed's market position in legal, medical and the european market.

al-Mutanabi Street Book Market Re-opens

The NYT has a short piece on the re-opening of the al-Mutanabi Street book market in Baghdad. The market had been closed since the bombing and an imposed curfew. (I guess most curfews are imposed). From the article:

Mr. Shatry, like many Iraqis, also sought solace in words and the remembrance of sufferings overcome. He had begun his day with a group poetry reading on Mutanabi Street, a humble reopening for a market that has survived the Mongol hordes, Saddam Hussein and many other attackers. Around noon, between the deafening thwack of American military helicopter propellers overhead — twice in an hour — he recited the poem he read earlier, written by Ibn al-Utri.

Here is what I wrote in April:

al-Mutanabi Street: Baghdad Diary
I had not had the chance until recently to return to the diary of Dr. Saad Eskande, Director of the Iraq National Library and Archive . It makes pretty horrific reading and this passage from March 5th describes the scene of the car bomb attack on the well known al-Mutanabi Street Book market. The diary is hosted by the British Library and is well worth reading.

As we were talking, a huge explosion shook the INLA's building around 11.35. We, the three of us, ran to the nearest window, and we saw a big and thick grey smoke rising from the direction of al-Mutanabi Street, which is less than 500 meter away from the INLA. I learnt later that the explosion was a result of a car bomb attack. Tens of thousands of papers were flying high, as if the sky was raining books, tears and blood. The view was surreal. Some of the papers were burning in the sky. Many burning pieces of papers fell on the INLA's building. Al-Mutanabi Street is named after one of the greatest Arab poets, who lived in Iraq in the middle ages. The Street is one of well-known areas of Baghdad and where many publishing houses, printing companies and bookstores have their main offices and storages. Its old afes are the most favorite place for the impoverished intellectuals, who get their inspirations and ideas form this very old quarter of Baghdad. The Street is also amous for its Friday's book market, where secondhand, new and rear books are sold and purchased. The INLA purchases about 95% of new publications from al-Mutanabi Street. I also buy my own books from the same street. It was extremely sad to learn that a number of the publishers and book sellers, whom we knew very well, were among the dead, including Mr. Adnan, who was supposed to deliver a onsignment of new publications to the INLA. According to an early estimation, more than 30 people were killed and 100 more injured. Four brothers were killed in their office.